Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 26 Aug 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2023 to 1 Sep 2023, the highest close was 19.5% on 26 Aug 2023 and the lowest 1.3% on 31 Aug 2023. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 16.5% on 1 Sep 2023. $15.78K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Aug 2023 – 1 Sep 2023, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2023 | 19.5% |
| 1 Sep 2023 | 16.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| m55 | Yes | 71.43 |
| l3n | Yes | 8.33 |
| Violet Lynx AD23 | Yes | 3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Resolution source: https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-tweet-again-by
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