Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 31 Mar 2026 (13 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42.5% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 13% on 1 Feb 2026. $48.04K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 12:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 31 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 42.5% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | Yes | 2K |
| b00ster | Yes | 1K |
| Firm-Tailbud | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 638.41 |
| mnis | Yes | 606.35 |
| Firm-Poverty | Yes | 523.14 |
| alean | Yes | 484.26 |
| Jacoloco | Yes | 216.75 |
| Fenwu | Yes | 171.27 |
| Vivid-Reference | Yes | 111.12 |
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