Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5% on 17 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2025 to 1 Aug 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 18 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2025. $268.64K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 17 Jul 2025 – 1 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2025 | 5.0% |
| 1 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kickstand8 | Yes | 5K |
| user-213094o | Yes | 4.41K |
| DumbMoney1 | Yes | 2.96K |
| Mj18 | Yes | 2.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve before his term is up, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down or raise rates”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-by-july-31
| PigNuts | Yes | 2.1K |
| Ledbetter23 | Yes | 842.86 |
| Leme-115 | Yes | 801.07 |
| thefman | Yes | 500.19 |
| ultraemp37 | Yes | 464.43 |
| Outlandish-Impress | Yes | 428.57 |
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