Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 5 Jul 2025, the highest close was 25% on 3 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.1% on 4 Jul 2025. $12.36K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 5 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 25.0% |
| 5 Jul 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.69K |
| jakebrook247 | Yes | 168.35 |
| shine | No | 0.03 |
| arka.parka.leto | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to according to the date (ET) Donald Trump first signs the next reconciliation bill into law. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-trump-sign-the-big-beautiful-bill-into-law
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