Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 26 Apr 2026, the highest close was 45.5% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 16% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 16% on 26 Apr 2026. $5.84K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 27, 6:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 26 Apr 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 45.5% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Circular-Stab | Yes | 1K |
| SHIMONM12 | Yes | 87.44 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30.19 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market over what Donald Trump will do on April 25, 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-today-april-25
| Curly-Dealing | Yes | 25.66 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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