Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 11% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 1 Dec 2025, the highest close was 11% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 28 Nov 2025. $44.69K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 1 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 11.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | 0.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yurqo | Yes | 2.34K |
| hazardfree | Yes | 1.59K |
| Qpllll | Yes | 180.56 |
| Edible-Mango | Yes | 162.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration or the U.S. government announces that it is sending, has sent, or will send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine by October 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying statement within the specified timeframe will suffice regardless of when the missiles are sent. For the purposes of this market, official policy announcements from the Trump administration or the U.S. government will qualify. Informal statements, leaks, or speculative remarks will not be sufficient. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, the U.S. government, or the government of Ukraine. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used if no direct official statement is available.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-send-tomahawk-to-ukraine
| Asd1311 | Yes | 150 |
| Well-Informed-Painting | Yes | 130 |
| Handy-Lycra | Yes | 120 |
| Skyynett | Yes | 100 |
| Notable-Exhibition | Yes | 100 |
| Sixsevensix | Yes | 100 |
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