Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 13 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Feb 2025 to 14 Feb 2025, the highest close was 45% on 13 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 14 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 0.1% on 14 Feb 2025. $3.6K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 15, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Feb 2025 – 14 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2025 | 45.0% |
| 14 Feb 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On Wednesday, Donald Trump announced he will be having a press conference about where American tax dollars have been going on February 13: https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1889800475668783190 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the first such press conference Trump gives on February 13. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will not count. If no such press conference happens by February 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the press conference.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-donald-trump-say-during-his-thursday-press-conference
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