Analytics
Resolved No on 21 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84.5%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 20 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 May 2025 to 21 May 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 20 May 2025 and the lowest 15.5% on 21 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 15.5% on 21 May 2025. $879.75 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 May 2025 – 21 May 2025, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2025 | 39.5% |
| 21 May 2025 | 15.5% |
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President Trump is scheduled to meet with the President of South Africa, Cyril Ramaphosa, at the White House on May 21, 2025, for bilateral events. You can read more about that here: https://dirco.gov.za/president-ramaphosa-to-undertake-working-visit-to-the-united-states-of-america/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the President of South Africa events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a Bilateral Lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/live/BdPGH5QshiI
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