Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 3 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 73.5% on 4 Nov 2024 and the lowest 56.5% on 3 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 73.5% on 4 Nov 2024. $7.84K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 2:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Nov 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 50%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2024 | 56.5% |
| 4 Nov 2024 | 73.5% |
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Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 3 in, Macon, Georgia (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/1f6a16d5f4sd41-5dfs4f56ds4f564-1a6df1d564). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Voter ID" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 3, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-macon-ga-rally
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