Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.6%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2026 to 3 Aug 2026, the highest close was 39% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 3.4% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 3.8% on 1 Aug 2026. $1.44K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 7:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 26 Jul 2026 – 3 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | 34.5% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 100 |
| cbh76255 | Yes | 37.35 |
| arenaamashide | Yes | 36.36 |
| MasterMan79 | Yes | 16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-july-27-august-2-20260724154805086
| MollyParkets | Yes | 15.85 |
| Lipitrop | Yes | 15.15 |
| Swift Scout 5540 | Yes | 12.35 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| sacapara | Yes | 5 |
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