Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, the high was 48.5% on 24 Jun 2025 and the low 30% on 25 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 30% on 25 Jun 2025. $22.68K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 24 Jun 2025 – 25 Jun 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2025 | 48.5% |
| 25 Jun 2025 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnnyonmoney | Yes | 1K |
| Mikedd | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 676 |
| ChickenMan | Yes | 500 |
| Bobbyfish | Yes | 250 |
| hvg | Yes | 217.29 |
| alekdmdm1 | Yes | 90.91 |
| Justbusiness | Yes | 54.05 |
| Lucsky | Yes | 40.63 |
| tiittari | Yes | 32.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at the NATO Summit taking place on June 25, 2025 (https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/21/trump-nato-defense-spending-00416118). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event where Trump delivers a speech at NATO Summit (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nato-summit-speech-on-june-25
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