Analytics
Resolved No on 31 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 24 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 24 May 2025 to 31 May 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 29 May 2025 and the lowest 2.5% on 31 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 39.5% on 29 May 2025. $2.5K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 24 May 2025 – 31 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2025 | 30.5% |
| 31 May 2025 | 2.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 24, 12:00 PM ET and May 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-236
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