Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46.3%. Yes opened at 52% on 28 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 28 Jun 2024 to 29 Jun 2024, the highest close was 52% on 28 Jun 2024 and the lowest 46.3% on 29 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.7 points down, to 46.3% on 29 Jun 2024. $11.55K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 28 Jun 2024 – 29 Jun 2024, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jun 2024 | 52.0% |
| 29 Jun 2024 | 46.3% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump claims the presidential debate scheduled for June 27, 2024 was "rigged" between the end of the debate and June 28, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", Trump must specifically use the word "rigged" to describe the debate. Statements like "CNN rigs these things" or "We caught them rigging the debate!" will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. However, statements implying that the debate was rigged without using the word (e.g. "The whole debate was a set up!") will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be any video or audio recording of Donald Trump, or any official Trump communication channel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-say-the-debate-was-rigged
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