Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 66%. Yes opened at 74% on 26 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 30 Sep 2026, the highest close was 81% on 29 Sep 2026 and the lowest 64% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 81% on 29 Sep 2026. $693.19 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 6:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 30 Sep 2026, chart shows 60%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 74.0% |
| 30 Sep 2026 | 66.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Trained-Notion | No | 390 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 28, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-september-28-october-4-20261004
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