Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 3 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2024 to 5 Oct 2024, the highest close was 56.5% on 4 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Oct 2024. $24.2K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 1:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 3 Oct 2024 – 5 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2024 | 51.5% |
| 5 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall on October 4 in Fayetteville, North Carolina (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-host-a-town-hall-in-fayetteville-nc). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax queen" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 4, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-north-carolina-town-hall
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