Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 31.5% on 8 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2025 to 9 Aug 2025, the highest close was 31.5% on 8 Aug 2025 and the lowest 14.4% on 9 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 14.4% on 9 Aug 2025. $4.1K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 10, 8:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Aug 2025 – 9 Aug 2025, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | 31.5% |
| 9 Aug 2025 | 14.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| johnnyonmoney | Yes | 211.8 |
| Ricds | Yes | 135.07 |
| Subscribe7438 | Yes | 97 |
| Javin-F | Yes | 44.48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral events with the prime minister of Armenia on August 8, 2025 (https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/8/6/trump-to-host-armenia-azerbaijan-leaders-for-peace-talks-report). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled bilateral and multilateral events with the Armenian prime minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XaSD6iIiGzA
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-armenia-prime-minister-events-on-august-8
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 40.98 |
| marcus2323 | Yes | 40.8 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 39.9 |
| benny323 | Yes | 35.71 |
| topturo | Yes | 32.26 |
| dareign | Yes | 31.57 |
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