Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 15 Apr 2025 to 18 Apr 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 17 Apr 2025 and the lowest 1% on 18 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 63 points down, to 1% on 18 Apr 2025. $2.26K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 15 Apr 2025 – 18 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Apr 2025 | 56.5% |
| 18 Apr 2025 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Keen Atlas 5C35 | Yes | 330 |
| Neon Lynx 6774 | Yes | 320 |
| Amber Atlas 89F5 | Yes | 205 |
| Solar Orbit 68BE | Yes | 90 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference events with Giorgia Meloni on April 17, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the Prime Minister of Italy events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-meloni-events-on-april-17
| Silver Pioneer 7F8D | Yes | 10 |
| Violet Quasar F7C2 | Yes | 5 |
| Jade Quasar 890A | Yes | 5 |
| Quiet Quasar C09C | Yes | 5 |
| Amber Ledger F534 | Yes | 5 |
| Indigo Lynx 7BD5 | Yes | 5 |
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