Analytics
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 30 Apr 2026 to 2 May 2026, the highest close was 47.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 0.3% on 2 May 2026. $2.7K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 12:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 30 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Apr 2026 | 47.5% |
| 2 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Branch | Yes | 174.9 |
| Supportive-Gator | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.96 |
| Jamieeee | Yes | 40 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit The Villages on May 1, 2026, 3PM ET (https://www.dailycommercial.com/story/news/local/2026/04/28/president-trump-set-to-visit-the-villages-in-florida-on-may-1-2026/89835008007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026, 3PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tdt9LlsH2wU
| Blank-Layer | Yes | 13.16 |
| Hefty-Harbour | Yes | 10 |
| Tm100 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| tugggjsz | Yes | 5 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-the-villages
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