Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 3 or more times during California rally on October 12?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 13, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.4K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 13, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 55% on 10 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2024 to 13 Oct 2024, the highest close was 55% on 10 Oct 2024 and the lowest 35% on 13 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8 points down, to 35% on 13 Oct 2024. $11.41K traded over the market's life.

3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 2:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 10 Oct 2024 – 13 Oct 2024, chart shows 30%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
10 Oct 2024	55.0%
13 Oct 2024	35.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Stefano.scm	Yes	56.04
anonamer1	Yes	20
sOswa1d	Yes	0.01

3 of 3 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 12 in Coachella, California (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-coachella-california). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 12, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.