Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.9%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 11 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 11 May 2025 to 17 May 2025, the highest close was 43.5% on 11 May 2025 and the lowest 3.1% on 17 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 3.1% on 17 May 2025. $3.27K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 18, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 11 May 2025 – 17 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | 43.5% |
| 17 May 2025 | 3.1% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 10, 12:00 PM ET and May 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-486
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