Analytics
Resolved No on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.5%. Yes opened at 57.5% on 17 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 May 2025 to 24 May 2025, the highest close was 57.5% on 17 May 2025 and the lowest 12.6% on 24 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 33% on 18 May 2025. $2.54K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 25, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 May 2025 – 24 May 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | 57.5% |
| 24 May 2025 | 12.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Atlas 18F1 | Yes | 975 |
| Indigo Pioneer 9130 | Yes | 20 |
| Royal Voyager C408 | Yes | 5 |
| Satar | Yes | 1.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 17, 12:00 PM ET and May 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-442
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