Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, the high was 10.4% on 28 Jun 2024 and the low 3.3% on 26 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points up, to 10.4% on 28 Jun 2024. $67.8K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 29, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 26 Jun 2024 – 28 Jun 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 3.3% |
| 28 Jun 2024 | 10.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cryptohollic | Yes | 2.43K |
| ashope13 | Yes | 1.3K |
| TMoney | Yes | 1.14K |
| 0xC7A59A2dF54 | Yes | 500 |
| natstrafe | Yes | 496.67 |
| phin | Yes | 411.76 |
| Loudawg | Yes | 367.95 |
| Ichimoto117 | Yes | 283.4 |
| Work | Yes | 200 |
| bennet83 | Yes | 198.68 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Shark" at any point during the first in-person presidential debate in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no in-person debate happens before election day, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Shark" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the sea animal. The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-the-debate
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