Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87.1%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 28 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Aug 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 54% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 9% on 23 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 9% on 23 Sep 2026. $153.53 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2026 | 53.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 50.99 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-september-2026
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