Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 17 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Aug 2024 to 18 Aug 2024, the highest close was 74.5% on 17 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 74 points down, to 0.1% on 18 Aug 2024. $54.95K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Aug 2024 – 18 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2024 | 74.5% |
| 18 Aug 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MPOXpositive | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in Wilkes-Barre on Saturday, August 17. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Secret Service" during his rally currently scheduled for August 17. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the rally is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the rally.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-saturday-rally
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