Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62%. Yes opened at 50% on 3 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2024 to 4 Nov 2024, the highest close was 62% on 4 Nov 2024 and the lowest 50% on 3 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 62% on 4 Nov 2024. $8.02K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 2:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Nov 2024 – 4 Nov 2024, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2024 | 50.0% |
| 4 Nov 2024 | 62.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on November 3 in, Macon, Georgia (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/1f6a16d5f4sd41-5dfs4f56ds4f564-1a6df1d564). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Saudi Arabia" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond November 3, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-macon-ga-rally
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