Will Trump say "Sanction" during his NATO speech?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$18.8K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Jun 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 41%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Jun 2025 to 25 Jun 2025, the highest close was 59% on 25 Jun 2025 and the lowest 43.5% on 24 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 59% on 25 Jun 2025. $18.8K traded over the market's life.

5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 27, 12:24 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Jun 2025 – 25 Jun 2025, chart shows 40%–65%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Jun 2025	43.5%
25 Jun 2025	59.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	678
Bobbyfish	Yes	555.56
ChickenMan	Yes	500
Mikedd	Yes	500

5 of 5 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech at the NATO Summit taking place on June 25, 2025 (https://www.politico.com/news/2025/06/21/trump-nato-defense-spending-00416118). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event where Trump delivers a speech at NATO Summit (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.