Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2025 to 13 Mar 2025, the highest close was 100% on 13 Mar 2025 and the lowest 56.5% on 11 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 100% on 13 Mar 2025. $8.86K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 14, 12:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Mar 2025 – 13 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2025 | 56.5% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gubbers | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a press conference with Micheál Martin, the Prime Minister of Ireland, on March 12, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled press conference with Zelenskyy. Preceding bilateral meetings will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the press conference contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vXe5Y2lmyEc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-presser-with-ireland-pm-on-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
