Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 33.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 27 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2025 to 3 Sep 2025, the highest close was 72.5% on 30 Aug 2025 and the lowest 59% on 27 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 60.5% on 2 Sep 2025. $19.17K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 12:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 27 Aug 2025 – 3 Sep 2025, chart shows 55%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2025 | 59.0% |
| 3 Sep 2025 | 66.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.71K |
| zerglemon | Yes | 385.25 |
| Lilpump | Yes | 299.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral events with the president of Poland on September 3, 2025 (see https://x.com/WojPawelczyk/status/1959299473504616841) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at bilateral or multilateral events featuring the President of Poland. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about scheduled bilateral and multilateral events with the President of Poland (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oSjLKWF5t7Y
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-events-with-polish-president-on-september-3
| Yes |
| 155 |
| redrojo | Yes | 118.57 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 118.37 |
| emperod | Yes | 109.91 |
| DesoGaming | Yes | 90.85 |
| jeffpepe | Yes | 73.53 |
| Heavy-Ridge | Yes | 71.43 |
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