Will Trump say "Reagan" during Univision town hall?

Resolved

Yes, settled Oct 17, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$14.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 17, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88%. Yes opened at 44% on 16 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2024 to 17 Oct 2024, the highest close was 88% on 17 Oct 2024 and the lowest 44% on 16 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 88% on 17 Oct 2024. $13.97K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 3:20 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Oct 2024 – 17 Oct 2024

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
16 Oct 2024	44.0%
17 Oct 2024	88.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Poly24	Yes	0.02
Axios	Yes	0.01

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump has scheduled a town hall hosted by Univision on October 16 (see: https://x.com/UniNoticias/status/1845238102874276011). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Reagan" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Reagan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Ronald Reagan. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.