Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21%. Yes opened at 55% on 8 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2025 to 9 Apr 2025, the highest close was 55% on 8 Apr 2025 and the lowest 21% on 9 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 21% on 9 Apr 2025. $3.74K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 10, 1:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Apr 2025 – 9 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | 55.0% |
| 9 Apr 2025 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Ivory Pioneer C540 | No | 890 |
| Cosmic Comet 5B56 | No | 5 |
| Ivory Ledger 43B5 | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the Annual NRCC Dinner on April 8, 2025. You can read more about that here: https://www.nrccpresidentsdinner.com/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about the main speech Trump gives at the Annual NRCC scheduled for April 8, 2025 (for example, https://www.youtube.com/live/Z8-ycoMlo1c?si=TTMob5ioBkRSn1Ij&t=1923). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this main speech will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the speech has an attached Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of event.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TUbGBiPLh7E
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nrcc-dinner-on-april-8
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