Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 75% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 17 Apr 2025 and the low 75% on 16 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 100% on 17 Apr 2025. $2.17K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 18, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 16 Apr 2025 – 17 Apr 2025 · axis zoomed to 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 75.0% |
| 17 Apr 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GRUB | No | 0.01 |
| chatgpt.com | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to host an Easter Dinner at the White House on April 16 (https://www.foxnews.com/politics/white-house-hold-extraordinary-holy-week-events-trump-honors-easter-the-observance-deserves). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 16, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Easter Dinner event (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ctbMyJksW7o
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-easter-dinner-on-april-16
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