Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 71.5%. Yes opened at 87% on 6 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 87% on 6 Dec 2024 and the low 71.5% on 8 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 72.5% on 7 Dec 2024. $10.72K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 7:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Dec 2024 – 8 Dec 2024, chart shows 65%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2024 | 87.0% |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 71.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| betaverse | No | 20 |
| APs | No | 11.36 |
| letmeberich | No | 10.53 |
| Rolocex | Yes | 0.03 |
| 0xdmail | Yes | 0.02 |
| Marty-Byrde | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "pardon" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "pardon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to releasing an offender from the legal consequences of an offense or conviction, and often implicitly from blame. This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nbc-interview
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