Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 67%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 22 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2025 to 24 Mar 2025, the highest close was 67% on 24 Mar 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 23 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 67% on 24 Mar 2025. $4K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 25, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 Mar 2025 – 24 Mar 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2025 | 47.5% |
| 24 Mar 2025 | 67.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| schebiboi | No | 28.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week
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