Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 47.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 12 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53.5% on 12 Apr 2025 and the low 46.5% on 13 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 46.5% on 13 Apr 2025. $8.65K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 12 Apr 2025 – 14 Apr 2025, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | 53.5% |
| 14 Apr 2025 | 47.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cobalt Harbor EE41 | No | 545 |
| Royal Comet 5916 | No | 455 |
| Royal Comet 834B | No | 275 |
| Silver Beacon 38B6 | No | 255 |
| Neon Pulse 5612 | No | 210 |
| Coral Summit 9151 | No | 205 |
| Emerald Voyager B88E | No | 190 |
| Silver Vector B1B4 | No | 160 |
| Emerald Oracle 0F91 | No | 130 |
| Amber Atlas 92E6 | No | 125 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference events with Nayib Bukele on April 14, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the scheduled Bilateral Meeting and/or Press Conference with the President of El Salvador events (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of these scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jI4x1FHfFUE
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bukele-events-on-april-14
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