Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 41% on 15 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 15 May 2026 to 16 May 2026, the highest close was 41% on 15 May 2026 and the lowest 21% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 21% on 16 May 2026. $793.63 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 4:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 15 May 2026 – 16 May 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 | 41.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 15 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.93 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Rotten-Venti | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
An interview of Donald Trump with Bret Baier is scheduled to air on May 15, 2026, at 7 PM ET. ((https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the interview by Bret Baier scheduled for May 15, 2026. (See: https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/fox-news-channel-conduct-first-172700257.html). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official audio/video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-bret-baier-interview
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
