Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 99.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 72 points up, to 99.5% on 17 Oct 2026. $1.67K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 17, 10:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 33.5% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Sphinx C3EC | No | 470 |
| polcz | No | 200 |
| MidCtrl | No | 60 |
| Slimy-Coin | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-12-october-18-20261018
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| TENETENET | No | 10 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
