Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 19 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4.5% on 19 Nov 2024 and the low 3.2% on 28 Nov 2024. $18.46K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 7, 5:59 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 18 points · 19 Nov 2024 – 6 Dec 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Nov 2024 | 4.5% |
| 6 Dec 2024 | 3.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is ten minutes (600 seconds) or greater in length. Only a live speech will qualify for this market. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "monkey pox" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If Donald Trump makes no speech by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-next-speech
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