Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 11% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 11% on 27 Sep 2024 and the low 7% on 28 Sep 2024. $16.38K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 29, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Sep 2024 – 28 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 11.0% |
| 28 Sep 2024 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ywewisy | No | 5.12 |
| LBZcapital | No | 0.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Donald Trump has scheduled to give a speech on September 28 in Prairie du Chien, Wisconsin (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-prairie-du-chien-wisconsin). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "missile shield" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 28, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-wisconsin-speech
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