Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 7 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 7 Feb 2026 to 8 Feb 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 8 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.9% on 8 Feb 2026. $11.32K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 9, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Feb 2026 – 8 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | 50.5% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CagXD | Yes | 5.74K |
| Ill-Evaporation | Yes | 1K |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| TonyEsse | Yes | 97.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with the President of the Republic of Honduras on February 7, 2026 (see https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/honduras-new-president-to-meet-with-trump/3818391). The event is currently listed as Closed Press by the White House Press Pool. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the President of the Republic of Honduras on February 7, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and the President of the Republic of Honduras. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "-No Qualifying Event-". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-honduran-president-events-on-february-7
| RiskyPinki | Yes | 51.04 |
| 9735 | Yes | 50 |
| t189 | Yes | 50 |
| tiancs | Yes | 50 |
| Thahakje | Yes | 37.5 |
| MKR23IRECHI | Yes | 25 |
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