Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 74.5% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 43% on 8 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 65% on 9 Aug 2026. $1.05K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 9:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 43.0% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-august-10-august-16-20260807162748299
| Plaintive-Ping | No | 5 |
| triklozoid | No | 5 |
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