Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 30 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2024 to 31 Oct 2024, the highest close was 53.5% on 31 Oct 2024 and the lowest 48% on 30 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 53.5% on 31 Oct 2024. $228.35 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 3:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2024 – 31 Oct 2024, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2024 | 48.0% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | 53.5% |
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Donald Trump has scheduled an interview with Sean Hannity at 9 PM October 29 ( see: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1851337098944811409) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Mail-In Ballot" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this interview is not published by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview
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