Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 40.5%. Yes opened at 59% on 13 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Apr 2025 to 15 Apr 2025, the highest close was 59% on 13 Apr 2025 and the lowest 40.5% on 15 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 40.5% on 15 Apr 2025. $4.96K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Apr 17, 12:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Apr 2025 – 15 Apr 2025, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | 59.0% |
| 15 Apr 2025 | 40.5% |
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 12, 00:00 AM ET and April 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-322
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