
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 17 Sep 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 5% on 16 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 15 Sep 2024. $52.8K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 4:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 17 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2024 | 12.5% |
| 17 Sep 2024 | 5.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Viloga | Yes | 3.72K |
| Redsky | Yes | 545.45 |
| drater | Yes | 461 |
| Draaaaakje | Yes | 275.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Loomer", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Loomer" is part of the compound word and references the person Laura Loomer. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-x-space
| bababoey | Yes | 215.52 |
| Great-Cone | Yes | 209.09 |
| Juforpresident.x | Yes | 111.11 |
| soltardio | Yes | 34.03 |
| Fatherly-Licorice | Yes | 34 |
| Colossal-Cluster | Yes | 25.64 |
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