Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.8%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 27 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2026 to 29 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 27 Feb 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 26 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 7.5% on 18 Mar 2026. $3.24K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 27 Feb 2026 – 29 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | 43.5% |
| 29 Mar 2026 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Self-Reliant-Increase | Yes | 277.41 |
| Ultimate-Info | Yes | 149.25 |
| Honorable-Executive | Yes | 60.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-march
| triklozoid | Yes | 49.89 |
| tier666 | Yes | 31.23 |
| Fast-Tote | Yes | 30 |
| Cobalt Sphinx 8258 | Yes | 26.67 |
| Baybars | Yes | 25 |
| Golden Tide A3D4 | Yes | 20 |
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