Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 31%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 22 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 22 May 2025 to 24 May 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 22 May 2025 and the lowest 31% on 24 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 39% on 23 May 2025. $3.64K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of May 26, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 22 May 2025 – 24 May 2025, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 May 2025 | 50.5% |
| 24 May 2025 | 31.0% |
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Donald Trump is scheduled to graduation address at West Point Academy on May 24. You can read more about that here: https://www.recordonline.com/story/news/2025/04/22/trump-to-deliver-commencement-at-2025-west-point-graduation/83213049007/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 25, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the main speech Trump gives at the named event. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-at-west-point-commencement-speech
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