Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 23 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2026 to 24 Jun 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 23 Jun 2026 and the lowest 30% on 24 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 30% on 24 Jun 2026. $202.18 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 25, 1:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 23 Jun 2026 – 24 Jun 2026, chart shows 25%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2026 | 42.5% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 9.99 |
| Impressive-Wallet-Macaroon | Yes | 1.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Pennsylvania on June 23, 2026 (https://x.com/RepMeuser/status/2067728952404115773). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks during events in Pennsylvania scheduled for June 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about remarks in Pennsylvania on June 23, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by June 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-events-20260619211746454
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