
Resolved No on 31 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 30 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2024 to 31 Oct 2024, the highest close was 34.5% on 30 Oct 2024 and the lowest 21.5% on 31 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 21.5% on 31 Oct 2024. $41.68K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 3:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2024 – 31 Oct 2024, chart shows 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2024 | 34.5% |
| 31 Oct 2024 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EAA | Yes | 3K |
| KKshoucang-331 | Yes | 1.39K |
| puppysbreath | Yes | 772.32 |
| HaklayDeFi | Yes | 247.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled an interview with Sean Hannity at 9 PM October 29 ( see: https://x.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1851337098944811409) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 8 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Kamala Harris. If this interview is not published by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the interview.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-hannity-interview
| lcs | Yes | 150 |
| lruf | Yes | 100 |
| Jackkennedy | Yes | 55.56 |
| str88 | Yes | 29.99 |
| Kotoko | Yes | 25 |
| Martito | Yes | 6 |
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