Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.2%. Yes opened at 51% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 6 May 2026, the highest close was 98.2% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 51% on 28 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 98.2% on 6 May 2026. $6.18K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 11:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 6 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 51.0% |
| 6 May 2026 | 98.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| arxhgosmpes | No | 1.17K |
| davidadamshirley | No | 250 |
| 5-min | No | 200 |
| draakul | No | 55.13 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-may
| Faston | No | 20 |
| tugggjsz | No | 5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
