Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 29 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 18 Nov 2025 and the low 27% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 70 points up, to 97.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $4.67K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 19, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 29 Oct 2025 – 18 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | 45.0% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.04K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | No | 549 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 286 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 144 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 142 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 135 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 58 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 30 |
| zippa | No | 30 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-november
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