Will Trump say "Intel" or "Nvidia" during WEF Address on January 21?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$20.3K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 60%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 15 Jan 2026 to 21 Jan 2026, the highest close was 50% on 15 Jan 2026 and the lowest 28% on 20 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 40% on 21 Jan 2026. $20.31K traded over the market's life.

52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:23 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 15 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
15 Jan 2026	50.0%
21 Jan 2026	40.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Fragrant-Misreading	Yes	1.71K
Pritam449	Yes	277.5
beasik	Yes	249.98
Jumpy-Hyena	Yes	169.84

10 of 52 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a special address during the "How can we cooperate in a more contested world?" session of the WEF 2026 at Davos on Wednesday, January 21, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled "Special Address by Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America" (https://www.weforum.org/meetings/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2026/sessions/special-address-by-donald-j-trump-president-of-the-united-states-of-america-49a709be7a/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9YdMzYAN84